Ed Mental Models

Learning Journey • Mental Models

Luck Is Probability Taken Personally

Poker, travel, instructional design, and the mental models that help you think in bets, protect your best yes, and turn experience into durable judgment.

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The audiobook feed embedded near the top of the mental models archive.

Interactive Archive

Ed Reif’s Mental Models

Unlock each model as a compact decision card. The progress bar updates as you open the cards.

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Thinking in bets. Optimize for Expected Value, update beliefs as new cards fall, and don’t protect sunk costs.